⚡
TORCAST
v5 · TEST
AI
Convective outlook
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Discussion
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Location inspector
✕
Risk
SPC
Motion
MetO
Skill
⚙
Overlay opacity
50%
Model warnings
toggle
Daily-max risk
toggle
Report
Draw
Share
GIF
Submit observation
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Event type
✓ All clear — quiet day
Severity
No location set
Notes (optional)
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Preview
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Sounding
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Verification dashboard
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Hit rate
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%
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Skill score
◎
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vs climatology baseline
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Forecast bias
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Under 0.2×
Perfect 1.0×
Over 2.0×
RMSE
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Verification
— predicted vs observed
predicted active cells vs observed thunder cells · 7-day rolling hit rate
Overlay
Error
Range
—
7d
30d
All
No verification runs yet — run
skill.py --backfill
Daily hit · miss record
Export social card
✕
1200 × 675 · 16:9 · uses the real UK coastline
Card layer
Overall Risk — composite risk score
Thunder Risk — thunder probability
Card type
Forecast — risk & probabilities
Verification — overlay observed strikes
From hour
To hour
Card summarises the max over this window.
Include AI summary
(else list at-risk areas)
SPC polygon style (smooth contours)
Export 1200 × 675
Cancel
Export GIF
✕
Layer
Frame speed
Slow — 0.7s / frame
Medium — 0.4s / frame
Fast — 0.25s / frame
From hour
To hour
Overlay observed lightning strikes
Include AI summary
(else list at-risk areas)
SPC polygon style (smooth contours)
Generate GIF
Cancel
Draw forecast
0 areas
No tier armed
Smooth
Clear
Export
Finished
Click to add points · double-click or click the first point to close · right-click a shape to delete.
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source: initialising…